Economic Research Center

Economy

U.S. budget deficit hit $316 billion in May, with annual shortfall up 14% from a year ago

The U.S. government drifted further into red ink in May, with a burgeoning debt and deficit issue getting worse.

Vance joins Trump in bashing Powell, says Fed committing 'monetary malpractice' by not cutting rates

President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance are now double-teaming the Fed in an effort to get lower interest rates.

U.S. inflation rises 0.1% in May from prior month, less than expected

The consumer price index was expected to rise 0.2% in May, with a 12-month inflation rate of 2.4%.

World Bank sharply cuts global growth outlook on trade turbulence

"This would mark the slowest rate of global growth since 2008, aside from outright global recessions," the World Bank said of its forecast.

Bulgaria is set to join the euro zone. But its citizens aren't convinced

The European Commission and European Central Bank have signed off on Bulgaria joining the euro zone.

CEO recession expectations decline from April scare, survey says

The latest poll showed less than 30% of CEOs expected some sort of recession or slowdown over the next six months.

Inflation fears receded in May as Trump eased some tariff threats, New York Fed survey shows

The one-year inflation outlook took a substantial dip, down to 3.2% — a 0.4 percentage point decrease from April.

U.S. payrolls increased 139,000 in May, more than expected; unemployment at 4.2%

Nonfarm payrolls were expected to increase 125,000 in May while the unemployment rate stayed at 4.2%.

Russia lowers interest rates to 20% in first cut since 2022 as inflation pressures ease

Inflation in Russia hit 8.3% in the first quarter of the year, with the effects of the war in Ukraine continuing to be felt in the economy.

The world could be facing another ‘China shock,’ but it comes with a silver lining

A new round of "China shock" appears to be under way as Beijing doubles down on manufacturing and exports to offset the drag in domestic consumption.